Skip to main content
White paper

Reducing the number of scenarios used for stochastic ALM valuation

5 September 2023
Download PDFDownload

Related Content
Modeling Solution
Milliman Economic Scenario GeneratorLearn moreNavigation Arrow

The valuation of an insurance balance sheet is a complex exercise that requires the simulation of various stochastic variables, such as risk-neutral economic scenarios. In practice, given typical run-time constraints, the number of economic scenarios to be considered is limited. This paper focuses on exploring the reduction of the number of simulations to achieve a reasonable objective in terms of valuation accuracy while significantly decreasing the computational time required for standard valuations. The main sections of the paper discuss:

  • Analysis of the Prudent Harmonized Reduced Set of Scenarios
  • Implementation of scenario reduction techniques
  • Adaptive numbers of scenarios

About the Author(s)

Pierre-Edouard Arrouy

Jérémy Beaudet

Mohammed Bennouna

Steven Francois

Alison Tonin

We’re here to help